Who are the favourites and underdogs for every category at the Oscars this year? Continue reading for our gambling tips and predictions for this year’s ceremony.
The nominations are in and the short lists are revealed for the 91st Annual Awards — or as they are more affectionally known — The Oscars. About Sunday 24th February 2019, Hollywood’s greatest stars, old and new, will fill the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles to see who will walk away with a coveted Academy Award and (more significantly ) to watch anything dramas, controversies, and award snubs may happen.
The 2019 nominations came with a few raised eyebrows and tons of cheering from the rafters. Roma and The Favorite guide the way with 10 nominations apiece using A Star Is Born and Vice both securing 8. The greatest surprise is Black Panther bagging a total of 7 nods, including one for Best Picture, making it the very first superhero movie to be nominated for its maximum award.
But now everyone’s focus turns to the service itself, who the eventual winners will be and where money can be made by correctly calling the results. Who is a sure thing and where would be the very best chances of an upset? Here I take you who will win, that should win and who’s a dark horse in most of the major 6 categories, which means you have the best suggestions on where to put your money.
“A Star Is Born”
The biggest award of the night isn’t a stranger to controversies; The La La Land/Moonlight mix up of 2017 and Shakespeare In Love winning over Saving Private Ryan in 1999 spring to mind. So, to ever assume that this class is a lock is a fool’s game. With that said, last year’s winner for Best Picture and director – The Shape Of Water and Guillermo Del Toro respectively – were about as easy to predict as you’ll see. It is but one of the things that we love about the Oscars and the finest Picture race in particular — it’s either a boring, easy-to-call affair or an ridiculous controversy… the problem is, you will never know which one you are going to get every year!
This year’s front runner is Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma. Virtually everything about it screams’win’: it is a black and white foreign language film with no scoretakes, shot superbly and directed by a prior Best Director winner in Cuaron. The only red flag is it is a Netflix film. Roma is your very first Netflix movie to be nominated for Best Picture and because of this no one quite knows what effect that will have on its odds of winning. As for me, I don’t believe being a Netflix film will damage it at all, I actually think it could help it since the movie has been much more accessible to audiences that any of its competitors. However, the simple fact of the matter is, no one really knows and only time will tell.
Hot on the heels of Roma are Green Book, The Favourite, and A Star Is Born. Of the 3, The Favourite is, well… the favourite to steal the prize. Prior to nominations, Green Book could have been right up there. However, with the news that Green Book’s manager Peter Farrelly and A Star Is Born director, Bradley Cooper equally failed to secure Best Director nominations, this has undoubtably hurt both films chances of winning Best Picture. I still think Green Book has an opportunity of making a late rise to the surface but as it currently stands, Roma is the one to conquer.
As great as BlacKKKlansman and Bohemian Rhapsody were movies, their Best Picture nominations are charge enough and I can’t see either movie challenging for the win here. The exact same goes to Vice; even though catching 8 nominations, the film has had mixed critics testimonials and I can’t see the Academy rewarding a movie about Dick Cheney with its greatest award of the night.
Now, let us talk about Black Panther; though the film has a total of 7 nominations, none of these are for acting, screenplay or directing without a super hero movie has been nominated for Best Picture, let alone won it. So, there’s absolutely no way it could win, right? Realistically, no. However, in Hollywood anything could happen and Dark Panther winning the top prize might be the next step in the development of cinema and the Academy Awards.
Black Panther is composed, directed and mostly created by black filmmakers and at a year in which the movie business was forced to take a long hard look at itself, a party of diversity in Hollywood is not only long overdue, but could well be a substantial focus of this 2019 ceremony.
Think about this too; Dark Panther grossed over $1 Million worldwide. Yes, it’s an action-packed, CGI experience, but there’s so much more to it than that. The same as many preceding Best Picture nominees and winners, Black Panther tackles a host of timely and relevant questions about race and prejudice. The more I think about it, the more I believe, it really could happen!
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